JOURNAL ARTICLES
2013
Monetary Rules for Commodity Traders IMF Economic Review 61, 52-91, 2013. {with Roberto Chang] 2011 Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles Journal of Development Economics, 2011, 95, (2), 212-228 View citations See also Working Paper (2010) [with Marco Aiolfi and Alan Timmermann] 2009 Persistent Gaps and Default Traps Journal of Development Economics, 2009, 89, (2), 271-284 View citations See also Working Paper (2008) 2006 [with Ana Fostel and Sandeep Kapur] Volatility and the Debt-Intolerance Paradox IMF Staff Papers, 2006, 53, (2), 1 View citations 2007 Sudden Stops and Currency Drops: A Historical Look in Sebastian Edwards et. al. (eds.), The Decline of Latin American Economies, NBER/ University of Chicago, 2007 2005 Effective Exchange Rates and the Classical Gold Standard Adjustment American Economic Review, 2005, 95, (4), 1259-1275 View citations [with Solomos Solomou] Fiscal Deficits and Inflation Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, 52, (3), 529-554 View citations See also Working Paper (2003) 2002 [with Marco Terrones] Determinants of Argentina’s External Trade Journal of Applied Economics, 2002, V, 19-57 View citations See also Working Paper (1999) [with Elisabetta Falcetti] |
2000
Effective exchange rates 1879 1913 European Review of Economic History, 2000, 4, (03), 361-382 See also Working Paper (1998) [with Solomos Solomou] 1998 Mexico and Export-Led Growth: The Porfirian Period Revisited Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1998, 22, (1), 59-78 1996 Recession and Recovery in the United Kingdom in the 1990s: Identifying the Shocks National Institute Economic Review, July 1996 [with R. Ramaswamy] 1993 The Failure of Export–Led Growth in Brazil and Mexico Institute of Latin American Studies Monograph series, University of London, 1993 1992 A New Wholesale Price Index for Brazil During the Period 1870-1913 Revista Brasileira de Economia, 1992, 46, (4), 519-534 View citations Do Tratado de Probabilidade a Teoria Geral: O Conceito de Racionalidade em Keynes Revista de Economia Política, Vol. 12, No.1, Jan/Mar 1992, pp.60-75 1990 The long-wave debate: Tibor Vasko, ed., Selected papers from an IIASA international meeting on long-term fluctuations in economic growth: their causes and consequences, held in Weimar, GDR, 1985 (Springer-Verlag, Berlin/Heidelberg, 1987) xvii+431, ISBN 3-540-18164-4, Hardback DM148.00 European Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 6, (2), 297-301 |
MEDIA PUBLICATIONS
O Alimento e a Guerra Cambial, Valor Econômico, 7 June 2011
Alimentos e a Política Econômica, Valor Econômico, 10 February 2011 Global Food Prices and Inflation Targeting, VOX-EU, 27 January 2011 (with Roberto Chang) Will Food Prices Kill the Recovery?, Time/CNN, 20 January 2011 Informalidade no Brasil, Exame, July 28th, 2010 A Retomada do Crédito, Estado de São Paulo, p.8, 21 April 2010 Um Bonus da Estabilidade: O Crédito e o Emprego Formal, Valor Econômico, p.16, October 2008 The International Herald Tribune, April 9th, 2001 (article by James K. Glassman on paper The New Economy and Global Stock Returns) The Economist, March 24th, 2001 (section “Economic Focus” on the same paper) Down Jones International News,, April 18th, 2003 (article by John Connor on the paper Fiscal Deficits and Inflation) Valor Econômico, June 8th, 2006 (article by Maria Clara do Prado on the paper Sudden Stops and Currency Drops: A Historical Look) |
BOOKS AND CHAPTERS IN EDITED VOLUMES
The Failure of Export–Led Growth in Brazil and Mexico, Institute of Latin American Studies Monograph series, University of London, 1993
Sovereign Debt: From Safety to Default, Kolb, R. (ed.), John Wiley & Sons, 2011. Contributed chapter entitled "Default Traps" [with Ana Fostel and Sandeep Kapur]. Monetary Policy under Financial Turbulence, 2011, vol. 16, pp 105-144. Contributed Chapter 5, entitled "The Credit Channel and Monetary Transmission in Brazil and Chile: A Structured VAR Approach" [with Adrian Pagan] The Decline of Latin American Economies: Growth, Institutions, and Crises, 2007, pp 243-290. Contributed Chapter 7 entitled "Sudden Stops and Currency Drops: A Historical Look" See also Working Paper (2006) Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Robert Engle, Bollerslev, T., J. Russell, and M.Watson (eds), Oxford Economic Press, December 2009. Contributed chapter “Volatility Regimes and Global Stock Returns” [with Allan Timmermann] OTHER IMF PUBLICATIONS
External Liabilities and Crisis Tipping Points,
Box 1.5., World Economic Outlook, 2011, Food Price Swings and Monetary Policy in Open Economies, Box 3.2., World Economic Outllook, 2011, Backcasting Latin America, Finance and Development, December 2007, pp.39-43. Why Real Exchange Rates, Finance and Development, September 2007, pp.46-47 |
